Extreme Precipitation Produced by Relatively Weak Convective Systems in the Tropics and Subtropics

Abstract

This study investigates warm-season extreme precipitation events (EPEs) with the focus on the less-attended weak convection (WeEPEs) using spaceborne radar observations. WeEPEs are compared to EPEs with intense convection (InEPEs), including their frequency/location, convective structures, and storm environments. WeEPEs and InEPEs both account for about 30% of the EPEs, highlighting the importance of WeEPEs. Overland WeEPEs mainly occur over key monsoon regions and maximize over windward sides of coastal mountains likely due to orographic enhancement. WeEPEs develop under conditions with deep moist profiles and strengthened low-level onshore flows. Radar, microwave, and lightning proxies all suggest a weak updraft and limited ice contents in WeEPEs. However, vertical radar profiles of WeEPEs exceptionally increase (∼15 dBZ) downward below the melting level, indicating substantial raindrop growth and/or concentration increase through very active warm-rain processes. This study provides useful guidelines for evaluating high-resolution model simulations and satellite rainfall retrievals on extreme precipitation.