Climate and climate impact scenarios for Europe in a warmer world ( England, Wales).

Abstract

Scenarios for Europe in a warmer world, such as may result from increased atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, have been constructed using the early 20th century warming as an analogue. The climate scenarios are used to construct scenarios of the impact of a global warming on energy consumption and agriculture. A specific study was made of the effect of two different climate scenarios on crop yields in England and Wales with regression models constructed using a principal components regression technique. Most crops showed a decreasse in yield for both warm-world scenarios, with largest decreases for hay yield and least effect on wheat yield.-from Authors