Artificial Neural Networks and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System for wheat yield analysis and prediction

Abstract

The current study evaluated the prediction of the yield of wheat crops in the Bagalkot district of Karnataka State, India. The study aimed to provide crop yield predictions to help farmers optimize their cultivation and marketing strategies. The model used various independent variables, such as temperature, humidity of air, and water resources, to predict growth in the yield of wheat crops. The correlation analysis helps determine the strength and direction of the relationship between the variables based on the results. The statistical analysis identifies the variables that have a significant impact on crop yield growth. The work developed and tested two different models (the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model and the Adaptive Neuro-fuzzy Interference System (ANFIS) to predict crop yield growth based on the selected independent variables. The ANFIS model was particularly interesting as it can predict a mapping between the input and output parameters, which can be useful for understanding the relationships between different variables. ANFIS was considered a better predictor than ANN as the error percentage ranged from 0-3%. Overall, the work highlighted the importance of crop yield predictions and the potential benefits that simulations can generate for farmers and the agriculture sector in general.