A Risk — Informed Approach to Decision Making in Rescue Operations

Abstract

Rescue operations on scene are usually based on rigid management systems. The on -scene commanders act within these systems, and their experiences are influenced by standardised emergency plans, written procedures and predefined arrangements and measures for the on scene activities. This paper presents an on scene decision making model based on the predictive Bayesian approach to risk. The paper discusses premises to be considered, if the risk - informed approach shall succeed as a powerful decision strategy on accident scenes.