Post-Crimean political Order

Abstract

The anti-modernization trend will become the main feature of the country's political regime for the immediate future - this trend dooms the regime to stagnation, making any attempts at technocratic renewal futile. In order to keep the situation under control, the regime will inevitably resort to greater, most likely pre-emptive, and therefore disproportionate, repressions, which will further exacerbate political conflict. The main question that will determine the predictions of the political regime's future is how stable it will be under the new conditions and what hypothetical solutions for overcoming stagnation it will have at its disposal.