Prediction of Wind Power Generation with Modern Artificial Intelligence Technology

Abstract

In view of the continuous growth of energy demand and interest in environmental protection, the use of clean energy to replace fossil fuels is a global trend. Wind energy is the fastest growing renewable energy in the world in recent years. However, in the case of Mexico, there are still some difficulties in promoting its use in some areas of the national territory. One difficulty is knowing in advance how much energy can be injected into the grid. This paper introduces the development of artificial intelligence technology for wind power generation prediction based on multi-year meteorological information. In particular, the potential application of Bayesian network in these prediction applications is studied in detail. A weather forecasting method based on Dynamic Bayesian network (RBD) is proposed. The forecasting system was tested using meteorological data from the regional wind energy technology center (CERT) of the National Institute of Electricity and Clean Energy (INEEL) in Oaxaca, Mexico. The results are compared with the time series prediction results. The results show that dynamic Bayesian network is a promising wind power generation prediction tool.