First‐trimester screening for gestational diabetes mellitus in twin pregnancies

Abstract

We previously reported a logistic regression model for prediction of GDM from maternal characteristics and medical history in 75,161 singleton pregnancies. In this study of 1376 twin and 13,760 singleton pregnancies recruited at 11–13 weeks’ gestation, we extend the model to include terms for twin pregnancies. We found the respective odds of GDM in dichorionic and monochorionic twin pregnancies to be 1.36 (95% CI: 1.02–1.81) and 2.78 (95% CI: 1.72–4.48) times higher than in singleton pregnancies. In both singleton and twin pregnancies, the risk for GDM increased with maternal age and weight and birth weight z‐score of a baby in a previous pregnancy and is higher in women with a previous pregnancy complicated by GDM; in those with a first‐ or second‐degree relative with diabetes mellitus; in women of Black, East Asian, and South Asian racial origin; and in pregnancies conceived through the use of ovulation‐induction drugs. In singleton pregnancies, at 10% and 20% false‐positive rate, the detection rate was 43% and 58%, respectively. In twin pregnancies, using risk cut‐offs corresponding to 10% and 20% false‐positive rates in singletons, the respective false‐positive rates were 27% and 47%, and the detection rates were 63% and 81%.