Peramalan Permintaan Produk Nata De Coco Dalam Supply Chain Management Dengan Model Arima

Abstract

Forecasting can be used to predict goods and services. This study aims to predict demand for nata de coco using the ARIMA model so that the company's inventory is well controlled and the supply chain is not constrained. This research data is secondary data taken during the request period from June 2021 to May 2022. The results show that the best ARIMA model is (0.2,1). The equation model formed is. Forecasting results in June 2021 are 3,104, July 2021 are 3,057, August 2021 are 3,008, September 2021 is 2,957, October 2021 is 2,906, November 2021 is 2,853, December 2021 is 2,710, January 2022 is 2,745 , February 2022 is 2,688, March 2022 is 2,631, April 2022 is 2,572 and May is 2,512.