Hepascore predicts liver outcomes and all-cause mortality in long-term methotrexate users: A retrospective cohort study

Abstract

Background and aim: Methotrexate (MTX) is routinely used for immunological disorders, and its long-term use is associated with hepatotoxicity. The aim of this study was to investigate whether a serum liver fibrosis test (Hepascore) predicted the risk of adverse liver-related outcomes and mortality. Methods: A total of 92 patients in Western Australia who had a long-term MTX intake history,from 2004 to 2016, were recruited and followed up from the first Hepascore to death or end of the study. Clinical data, all deaths, and liver-related outcomes (liver-related death and decompensation) were obtained from hospital, PathWest, and WA Data Linkage Unit databases. Results: Nine deaths and four adverse liver-related outcomes occurred during the follow up of 354 person-years. The 5-year survival was 86.1%. The liver-related outcome free survival was 95.6%. Baseline Hepascore ≥0.84 was associated with advanced fibrosis on liver biopsy (P = 0.025). A baseline Hepascore ≥0.84 was significantly associated with higher risks for adverse liver-related outcomes (P < 0.001) and all-cause mortality (P = 0.001). Cox regression demonstrated that only baseline Hepascore ≥0.84 was independently associated with the increased risk of all-cause mortality (7.91 [1.52–41.29], P = 0.014). Moreover, any Hepascore ≥0.84 found during follow up was independently associated with the increased risk of all-cause mortality (86.18 [4.03–1844.83], P = 0.007). Conclusions: This study demonstrated the potential importance of Hepascore monitoring in long-term MTX users. Patients with a Hepascore higher than 0.84 at any stage had increased mortality, but further studies are required to confirm this finding.