Adaptive drift estimation for nonparametric diffusion model

Abstract

We consider a nonparametric diffusion process whose drift and diffusion coefficients are nonparametric functions of the state variable. The goal is to estimate the unknown drift coefficient. We apply a locally linear smoother with a data-driven bandwidth choice. The procedure is fully adaptive and nearly optimal up to a log log factor. The results about the quality of estimation are nonasymptotic and do not require any ergodic or mixing properties of the observed process.