Safety of users in road evacuation: Demand models

Abstract

The aim of this work is to propose a demand model for the simulation of a transportation system in emergency conditions. The model is specified, calibrated and validated using data obtained from real experimentation in the urban area of Melito Porto Salvo in the province of Reggio Calabria (Italy), in relation to the research project SICURO, organized by LAST - Laboratory for Transport Systems Analysis and funded by the Calabria Regional Authority (EU Structural Funds 2000-2006). In this paper we analyse a formal demand model subdivided into the following sub-models: generation; modal split with distribution. All sub-models were validated using formal and informal tests.