Short-record-based extreme wind simulation

Abstract

In order to utilize limited historical wind records for estimating extreme wind speeds for natural hazards damage mitigation, a Markov chain model for generating long-term annual extreme winds, on the basis of short-term records, is investigated. The basic strategy of our simulation model is to generate the time series of hourly wind speeds in parts: for those winds associated with well-behaved climates and those with extreme winds. Applications of this model to generate long-term extreme winds, on the basis of short records at Houston Intercontinental Airport of Texas, are demonstrated. -from Authors