Spreading of SARS-CoV-2 in West Africa and assessment of risk factors

Abstract

Although the African continent is for the moment less impacted than the rest of the world, it still faces the risk of a spread of COVID-19. In this study we have conducted a systematic review of the information available in the literature in order to provide an overview of the epidemiological and clinical features of covid-19 pandemic in West Africa and of the impact of risk factors such as comorbidities, climatic conditions and demography on the pandemic. Burkina Faso is used as a case study to better describe the situation in West Africa. The epidemiological situation of COVID-19 in West Africa is marked by a continuous increase in the numbers of confirmed cases. This geographic area had on 29 July 2020, 131049 confirmed cases by PCR, 88305 recoveries and 2102 deaths. Several factors may influence the SARS-CoV-2 circulation in Africa. i) Comorbidities: Diabetes mellitus and high blood pressure could lead to an increase in the number of severe cases of SARS-CoV-2; ii) Climatic factors: the high temperatures could be a factor contributing to slow the spread of the virus; iii) Demography: The West Africa population is very young and this could be a factor limiting the occurrence of severe forms of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Although the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in West Africa is relatively slow compared to European countries, vigilance must remain. Difficulties of accessing to diagnostic tests, lack of hospital equipment, but also the large number of people working in the informal sector (like trading, businesses, transport and restoration) makes it difficult to apply preventive measures, namely physical distancing and containment.