Better CRT Response in Patients Who Underwent Atrioventricular Node Ablation or Upgrade From Pacemaker: A Nomogram to Predict CRT Response

Abstract

Background: Response rates for cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) in patients without intrinsic left bundle-branch block (LBBB) morphology are poor. Objective: We sought to develop a nomogram model to predict response to CRT in patients without intrinsic LBBB. Methods: We searched electronic health records for patients without intrinsic LBBB who underwent CRT at Mayo Clinic. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were performed for the odds of response to CRT and risk of death, respectively. Results were used to develop the nomogram model. Results: 761 patients without intrinsic LBBB were identified. Six months after CRT, 47.8% of patients demonstrated improvement of left ventricular ejection fraction by more than 5%. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were 95.9, 82.4, and 66.70%, respectively. Patients with CRT upgrade from pacemaker [odds ratio (OR), 1.67 (95% CI, 1.05–2.66)] or atrioventricular node (AVN) ablation [OR, 1.69 (95% CI, 1.09–2.64)] had a greater odds of CRT response than those patients who had new implant, or who did not undergo AVN ablation. Patients with right bundle-branch block had a low response rate (39.2%). Patients undergoing AVN ablation had a lower mortality rate than those without ablation [hazard ratio, 0.65 (95% CI, 0.46–0.91)]. Eight clinical variables were automatically selected to build a nomogram model and predict CRT response. The model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.71 (95% CI, 0.63–0.78). Conclusions: Among patients without intrinsic LBBB undergoing CRT, upgrade from pacemaker and AVN ablation were favorable factors in achieving CRT response and better long-term outcomes.