International Parity Conditions and Market Risk

Abstract

This article presents a set of international parity conditions based on consistent and efficient market behavior. We hypothesize that deviations from parity conditions in international bond, stock, and commodity markets are attributable mainly to relative equity premiums and real interest rate differentials. Testing this hypothesis against four European markets for the recent floating currency period, we gain supportive evidence. Moreover, the deviations of uncovered interest parity, international stock return parity, and purchasing power parity are not independent; the evidence suggests that deviations from the three parities are driven by two common factors: equity premium differential and real interest rate differential. , Abstract This article presents a set of international parity conditions based on consistent and efficient market behavior. We hypothesize that deviations from parity conditions in international bond, stock, and commodity markets are attributable mainly to relative equity premiums and real interest rate differentials. Testing this hypothesis against four European markets for the recent floating currency period, we gain supportive evidence. Moreover, the deviations of uncovered interest parity, international stock return parity, and purchasing power parity are not independent; the evidence suggests that deviations from the three parities are driven by two common factors: equity premium differential and real interest rate differential.