Characterisation of initial fire weather conditions for large spring wildfires in Alberta, Canada

Abstract

We evaluated surface and 500-hPa synoptic weather patterns, and fire weather indices from the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System for 80 large wildfires during 1990-2019 in Alberta that started in May and grew to over 1000 ha. Spread days were identified during the first 4 days of wildfire activity. We observed two distinct synoptic weather patterns on these days. Pre-frontal and frontal passage activity was the predominant feature associated with 48% of the calendar spread days. Strong south-south-east winds from a surface high centred east of Alberta (west of Hudson Bay) and supported by an upper ridge, and a surface low located south-west of the ridge occurred on 26% of the calendar spread days. Surface analysis indicates the spring wildfire season in Alberta is driven by very high to extreme Initial Spread Index, a rating of the expected wildfire rate of spread based on Fine Fuel Moisture Code and wind. Very high to extreme values of Buildup Index, a rating of the amount of fuel available for consumption, are not a prerequisite for large wildfires in May. For Alberta, this means large wildfires in May can occur after only a few days of dry, windy weather.