Combined probabilistic linguistic term set and ELECTRE II method for solving a venture capital project evaluation problem

Abstract

Multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) frameworks assist people in assessing alternatives and making reasonable decisions, with the ELECTRE II MCDM method in particular being widely applied to many diverse fields. As it is not always possible to assess qualitative attributes or accurately evaluate alternatives using precise values, this paper proposes a new approach that combines the ELECTRE II method with probabilistic linguistic term sets (PLTS) to allow decision makers to state their qualitative preferences using corresponding probabilities. To demonstrate the viability of the PTLS-ELECTRE II method and assess its practicability, the proposed method was applied to a typical MCDM venture capital project evaluation problem, for which a comprehensive venture capital project evaluation index system was constructed that included multiple qualitative and quantitative indicators, such as industry background, marketing, product technology, team management and financial data. The reasonable evaluation sequence of alternatives was then determined using the PTLS-ELECTRE II method which can provide more accurate MCDM decisions.