Efeito da área e da produtividade na produção de celulose no brasil

Abstract

The objective of this work was to study the technological production of pulpwood.Therefore, production of hardwood pulp derived from eucalyptus effect was broken down into area and productivity effects. For this purpose, we used the shift-share model with which was found that these two variables contributed most to the trend in pulp production in the country in recent years. The following periods were evaluated: 1960 to 1970; 1970 to 1980; 1980 to 1990; 1990 to 2000; 2000 to 2007 and 1960 to 2007. Overall, it was observed that from 1960 to 2007, the main factor that explained the growth of pulp production was the productivity, but the low value for the area effect was due to expansion that started only in the 1990s. We also found that the planted forests in Brazil are very recent when compared to other countries, although the Brazilian pulp industry has managed to become competitive in both within the country and abroad.