Matrix Population Models as Relevant Modeling Tools in Ecotoxicology

Abstract

Nowadays, one of the big challenge in ecotoxicology is to understand howindividually measured effects can be used as predictive indices at the population level. A particular interesting aspect is to evaluate how individualmeasures of fitness and survival under various toxic conditions can be used to estimate the asymptotic population growth rate known as one of the most robust endpoint in population risk assessment. Among others, matrix population models are now widely recognized as a convenient mathematical formalism dedicated to the characterization of the population demographic health. They offer the advantage of simplicity, not only in the modeling process of underlying biological phenomena, but also in the sensitivity analyses and the simulation running. On the basis of different biological systems among aquatic animal species (from fish to zooplankton), we illustrate the use of matrix population models to quantify environmental stress effects of toxic type. We also show how critical demographic parameters for the population dynamics can be highlighted by sensitivity analyses. The first example will focus on coupled effects of food amount and exposure concentration on chironomid population dynamics in laboratory. The second example will exemplify the use of energy-based models coupled with matrix population ones to properly describe toxic effects on daphnid populations. Last, we will show how to introduce a spatial dimension in Leslie type models to describe space-specific aspects of contaminant induced population dynamics alteration with the case of brown trout population modeling at the river network scale.