The impact of macroeconomic news on chinese futures

Abstract

Inspired by the GARCH-MIDAS model, we revisit the relationship between Chinese futures and macroeconomic factors. We introduce the level of the macroeconomic variables into the GARCH-MIDAS model in order to test the impact of the macroeconomic level on the variance of futures’ return volatility. Based on the empirical results, we find the level of macroeconomic variables has a significant impact on the volatility of Chinese futures’ return. The influence of the macroeconomic level factor on the futures’ return volatility is statistically significant.