Continuous surveillance of drug-resistant TB burden in Rwanda: a retrospective cross-sectional study

Abstract

Background: Since the roll-out of the Xpert MTB/RIF assay, continuous surveillance can provide an estimate of rifampicin-resistant TB (RR-TB) prevalence, provided high drug susceptibility testing (DST) coverage is achieved. We use national data from Rwanda to describe rifampicin DST coverage, estimate the prevalence of RR-TB and assess its predictors. Methods: Routinely collected DST data were entered into an electronic TB case-based surveillance system. DST coverage was calculated among all bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary TB patients notified from 1 July 2019 to 30 June 2020 in Rwanda. The prevalence of RR-TB was estimated among those with DST results. Univariable and multivariable analysis was performed to explore predictors for RR TB. Results: Among 4066 patients with bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary TB, rifampicin DST coverage was 95.6% (4066/4251). RR-TB was diagnosed in 73 patients. The prevalence of RR-TB was 1.4% (53/3659; 95% CI 1.09 to 1.89%) and 4.9% (20/406; 95% CI 3.03 to 7.51%) in new and previously treated TB cases, respectively. Predictors of RR-TB were: (1) living in Kigali City (adjusted OR [aOR] 1.65, 95% CI 1.03 to 2.65); (2) previous TB treatment (aOR 3.64, 95% CI 2.14 to 6.19); and (3) close contact with a known RR-TB patient (aOR 11.37, 95% CI 4.19 to 30.82). Conclusions: High rifampicin DST coverage for routine reporting allowed Rwanda to estimate the RR-TB prevalence among new and previously treated patients.