Superior prognostic value of soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 for the short-term mortality of maintenance hemodialysis patients compared with NT-proBNP: a prospective cohort study

Abstract

Background: Both soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2) and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are promising biomarkers associated with the adverse clinical outcomes of dialysis patients. Our research aims at exploring and comparing the roles of sST2 and NT-proBNP in predicting the short-term and long-term mortality of maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients. Methods: A prospective cohort study was performed. Patients undergoing hemodialysis in July 2014 were enrolled from the Blood Purification Center of Ruijin Hospital. MHD patients were followed up for 3 years. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality at the 1-year and 3-year follow-up, while the secondary outcome was cardiovascular mortality. Serum sST2 level was detected by quantified ELISA kits. Clinical data were analyzed by SPSS 23.0 version. Results: 205 patients were recruited. The median sST2 level was 15.99 (11.60, 20.49) ng/ml. After 3 years of follow-up, both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in 1 year and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in 3 years increased significantly with serum sST2. For short-term mortality, no significant difference was observed in patients with increasing NT-proBNP levels. Cox regression analysis indicated that only sST2 was independent in predicting the risk of short-term outcomes. For long-term mortality, both sST2 and NT-proBNP were independent risk factors, while a higher hazard ratio was observed for NT-proBNP. Conclusions: Serum sST2 is a novel biomarker associated with adverse clinical outcomes in MHD patients. It was significant for both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in MHD patients and may provide better prognostic value in short-term prognosis than the classic biomarker NT-proBNP.