Research on the reliability allocation method of smart meters based on DEA and DBN

Abstract

Reliability allocation can reasonably determine the reliability index of each unit in the system to ensure product quality in design, manufacturing, testing and acceptance. In the design process of the smart meter, the preliminary reliability allocation results may be unreasonable, so in the middle and later stages of the design stage, the reliability needs to be reallocated. The traditional allocation method has some limitations, such as strong subjectivity, large amount of calculation and too much reliance on expert judgment. In order to solve these problems, this paper presents a multi-method fusion method of reliability allocation. First, this paper uses the goal-oriented methodology (GO methodology) to integrate dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs) to predict the reliability of smart meters. Second, a data envelopment analysis (DEA) reliability allocation model is established, the posterior probability obtained by DBN reasoning together with the failure rate and structural complexity of each unit are used as the output indicators of this model. Finally, the reliability allocation weight is calculated by using the efficiency value obtained from the DEA reliability allocation model. The validity and accuracy of this method is verified by an accelerated life test. This provides a new idea for reliability reallocation of smart meters.