Valuation of a Crude Oil Refinery in Brazil Under a Real Options Approach

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Abstract

Oil refineries are complex projects subject to uncertainties. Given that Brazil is an oil product importer, this work provides an investment analysis of a refinery considering managerial flexibilities. Crack spread and exchange rate are modeled as stochastic processes and the deferral and shutdown options are evaluated.

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de Castro Lopes, C., Blank, F. F., & Valladão, D. M. (2020). Valuation of a Crude Oil Refinery in Brazil Under a Real Options Approach. In Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics (pp. 491–499). Springer Science and Business Media B.V. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-23816-2_48

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