Fine Resolution Modeling of Climate Change Impact on Future Air Quality Over BULGARIA

Abstract

A meteorological database of high resolution (∼10 km) climate modeling results for three time slices - 1960-2000 (Control Run, CR), 2020-2050 (Near Future, NF) and 2070-2100 (Far Future, FF), produced by ALADIN-Climate model following the IPCC scenario A1B, future concentrations of many air pollutants are estimated. The dispersion calculations are made basically by US EPA Models-3 system (MM5, CMAQ, SMOKE). The mean concentrations of four main polluters (ozone ADM, SO2, NO2 and PM10) for the last 10 years of each time slice are calculated. The changes in pollution levels are presented and commented. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014.