Superiority of multiple-joint space width over minimum-joint space width approach in the machine learning for radiographic severity and knee osteoarthritis progression

Abstract

We compared the prediction efficiency of the multiple-joint space width (JSW) and the minimum-JSW on knee osteoarthritis (KOA) severity and progression by using a deep learning approach. A convolutional neural network (CNN) with ResU-Net architecture was developed for knee X-ray imaging segmentation and has attained a segmentation efficiency of 98.9% intersection over union (IoU) on the distal femur and proximal tibia. Later, by leveraging the image segmentation, the minimum and multiple-JSWs in the tibiofemoral joint were estimated and then validated by radiologist measurements in the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) dataset using Pearson correlation and Bland–Altman plots. The agreement between the CNN-based estimation and radiologist’s measurement of minimum-JSWs reached 0.7801 (p < 0.0001). The estimated JSWs were deployed to predict the radiographic severity and progression of KOA defined by Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grades using the XGBoost model. The 64-point multiple-JSWs achieved the best performance in predicting KOA progression within 48 months, with the area-under-receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.621, outperforming the commonly used minimum-JSW with 0.554 AUC. We provided a fully automated radiographic assessment tool for KOA with comparable performance to the radiologists and showed that the fine-grained measurement of multiple-JSWs yields superior prediction performance for KOA over the minimum-JSW.