An Improved Parameter-Estimating Method in Bayesian Networks Applied for Cognitive Diagnosis Assessment

Abstract

Bayesian networks (BNs) can be employed to cognitive diagnostic assessment (CDA). Most of the existing researches on the BNs for CDA utilized the MCMC algorithm to estimate parameters of BNs. When EM algorithm and gradient descending (GD) learning method are adopted to estimate the parameters of BNs, some challenges may emerge in educational assessment due to the monotonic constraints (greater skill should lead to better item performance) cannot be satisfied in the above two methods. This paper proposed to train the BN first based on the ideal response pattern data contained in every CDA and continue to estimate the parameters of BN based on the EM or the GD algorithm regarding the parameters based on the IRP training method as informative priors. Both the simulation study and realistic data analysis demonstrated the validity and feasibility of the new method. The BN based on the new parameter estimating method exhibits promising statistical classification performance and even outperforms the G-DINA model in some conditions.