Evidence for a modest undercount bias in early historical Atlantic tropical cyclone counts

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Abstract

We obtain new insights into the reliability of long-term historical Atlantic tropical cyclone ('TC') counts through the use of a statistical model that relates variations in annual Atlantic TC counts to climate state variables. We find that the existence of a substantial undercount bias in late 19th through mid 20th century TC counts is inconsistent with the statistical relationship between TC counts and climate. Copyright 2007 by the American Geophysical Union.

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Mann, M. E., Sabbatelli, T. A., & Neu, U. (2007). Evidence for a modest undercount bias in early historical Atlantic tropical cyclone counts. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(22). https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL031781

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