Strategic decision-making and risk-management in complex systems

Abstract

The present article sets the problem of assessing the negative consequences of strategic decisions in organization systems (OS). Research vocabulary for the subject matter “assessing the negative consequences of strategic decisions in organization systems” is presented in the article together with methodological concept of risk management in OS. A conceptual model of OS functioning has been constructed. The tasks of rational strategic making in the OS by choice from a limited multitude of alternatives have been formulated. The method for management of risk of negative consequences of the strategic decisions made in the OS is laid out. As a tool for assessment of the possible OS evolution trajectories influenced by the strategic decisions, we suggest a scenario method to make up the forecast area of the OS states in the changed living conditions.