GLOWA-danube results and key messages

Abstract

The research project GLOWA-Danube used a transdisciplinary approach to explore the regional impacts of global change (climate, demography, economy) on the availability and use of the water resources in the Upper Danube basin in the period from 2011 to 2060. An intensive dialogue with stakeholders in the region resulted in consolidated scenarios for the future development, which were simulated with the integrated simulation tool DANUBIA, specifically developed for this purpose within the project. The key messages and results are complied in this paper. They show that water resources will become scarcer in the future but not scarce. The range of uncertainty depending on the selected scenario is documented. The significant impacts on a large variety of natural processes and societal activities are compiled.