Decomposition analysis of growth in transportation carbon emissions and low-Carbon path exploration in Beijing

Abstract

With the development of economy, the service industry has become a new field of energy saving and emission reduction needed to explore. As the most major component of service industry, the energy saving and emission in transportation industry are paid more and more attention. The carbon emission in Beijing from 2005 to 2012 is accounted in this paper. With 2005 as the baseline year, the complete decomposition method is used to analyze Beijing’s transportation energy consumption and carbon emission. The conclusions are as follows: The overall transportation energy consumption and carbon emission show an upward trend in Beijing, and scale factor and energy consumption intensity factor are playing the catalytic role in transportation energy consumption and carbon emission. Among them, the industrial scale factor plays a major role on the growth of carbon emission in transportation industry. Energy consumption structure factor plays a smaller role on carbon emission in transportation industry, and it almost has no effect on energy consumption. This paper also proposes recommendations for future low-carbon development in Beijing transportation industry.