Machine learning analysis to predict the need for ankle foot orthosis in patients with stroke

Abstract

We investigated the potential of machine learning techniques, at an early stage after stroke, to predict the need for ankle–foot orthosis (AFO) in stroke patients. We retrospectively recruited 474 consecutive stroke patients. The need for AFO during ambulation (output variable) was classified according to the Medical Research Council (MRC) score for the ankle dorsiflexor of the affected limb. Patients with an MRC score of < 3 for the ankle dorsiflexor of the affected side were considered to require AFO, while those with scores ≥ 3 were considered not to require AFO. The following demographic and clinical data collected when patients were transferred to the rehabilitation unit (16.20 ± 6.02 days) and 6 months after stroke onset were used as input data: age, sex, type of stroke (ischemic/hemorrhagic), motor evoked potential data on the tibialis anterior muscle of the affected side, modified Brunnstrom classification, functional ambulation category, MRC score for muscle strength for shoulder abduction, elbow flexion, finger flexion, finger extension, hip flexion, knee extension, and ankle dorsiflexion of the affected side. For the deep neural network model, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.887. For the random forest and logistic regression models, the AUC was 0.855 and 0.845, respectively. Our findings demonstrate that machine learning algorithms, particularly the deep neural network, are useful for predicting the need for AFO in stroke patients during the recovery phase.