Predictors of Survival Among Preterm Neonates Admitted to Felege Hiwot Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia

Abstract

Background: Pre-maturity is the primary cause of neonatal mortality in the world. Although prematurity was the leading cause of neonatal mortality, the survival rate and its predictors may be varied from setting to setting and time to time due to different reasons. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the survival probability and predictors of mortality among preterm neonates at Felege Hiwot comprehensive specialized hospital. Methods: This is a retrospective follow-up study that included 542 randomly selected preterm neonates admitted at Felege Hiwot comprehensive specialized hospital from the period of 2016-2020. Semi-parametric and parametric survival models were fitted to identify the survival probability of preterm neonates and its association with different predictors. The best fit model was selected using Akaike's information criteria, Bayesian information criteria and likelihood ratio criteria. Results: The cumulative incidence and incidence rate of mortality among preterm neonates were 31 per 100 live births and 3.5 per 100 neonate days, respectively. From the adjusted cox-proportional-hazard model, predictors with higher preterm mortality risk include the presence of neonatal respiratory distress syndrome [AHR = 2.55, 95% CI: 1.23; 3.74], perinatal asphyxia [AHR = 4.26, 95% CI: 1.35; 6.79] and jaundice [AHR = 3.25, 95% CI: 2.14, 7.24]. However, admission weight of 1,500–2,499 g (AHR = 0.23, 95% CI: 0.11, 0.56) and ≥2,500 g (AHR = 0.12, 95% CI: 0.02; 0.32), early breastfeeding [AHR = 0.44, 95% CI: 0.36; 0.48] and kangaroo mother care [AHR = 0.11, 95% CI: 0.03; 0.15] were protective factors of preterm mortality. Conclusion: The cumulative incidence of mortality among preterm neonates was consistent with the national incidence of preterm mortality. Factors such as respiratory distress syndrome, perinatal asphyxia, breastfeeding, kangaroo mother care, admission weight, and jaundice are significant predictors of survival. Therefore, considerable attention such as intensive phototherapy, optimal calorie feeding, oxygenation, and good thermal care should be given for admitted preterm neonates.