Estimation Analysis of Long-Term Electrical Energy Needs in PT. PLN (Persero) P2B REGION MERAUKE Area Using Linear Regression Method

Abstract

Electrical energy is one of the important parts in the development of an area. The development of sustainable development and improvement in living standards can cause electricity consumption to continue to increase high, not least for Merauke Regency. In meeting the future electrical energy needs, it is necessary to prepare the development of the electrical system so that it is able to serve the demand for electrical energy needs in the future. One of the ways is to make predictions or estimates the electrical energy requirements. The estimation of the need for electrical energy is needed to answer the high demand for electricity that continues to increase, so that we see the development of electricity consumption in Merauke Regency that is linear. The method used in this research is analyzing the calculation of electricity needs using the Linear Regression Method. The estimation results of electrical energy needs in 2018 electrical energy needs amounted to 127,035,341 KWh, while in 2022 amounted to 17,139,908 KWh with an average increase per year of 8,747,989 KWh or 5.84%. From the calculation results, the household sector becomes the sector that has the highest electrical energy needs up to 2022 amounting to 114,294,938 KWh with an average percentage increase per year of 5.82%