Change and Variability in East Antarctic Sea Ice Seasonality, 1979/80-2009/10

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Abstract

Recent analyses have shown that significant changes have occurred in patterns of sea ice seasonality in West Antarctica since 1979, with wide-ranging climatic, biological and biogeochemical consequences. Here, we provide the first detailed report on long-term change and variability in annual timings of sea ice advance, retreat and resultant ice season duration in East Antarctica. These were calculated from satellite-derived ice concentration data for the period 1979/80 to 2009/10. The pattern of change in sea ice seasonality off East Antarctica comprises mixed signals on regional to local scales, with pockets of strongly positive and negative trends occurring in near juxtaposition in certain regions e.g., Prydz Bay. This pattern strongly reflects change and variability in different elements of the marine "icescape", including fast ice, polynyas and the marginal ice zone. A trend towards shorter sea-ice duration (of 1 to 3 days per annum) occurs in fairly isolated pockets in the outer pack from∼95-110°E, and in various near-coastal areas that include an area of particularly strong and persistent change near Australia's Davis Station and between the Amery and West Ice Shelves. These areas are largely associated with coastal polynyas that are important as sites of enhanced sea ice production/melt. Areas of positive trend in ice season duration are more extensive, and include an extensive zone from 160-170°E (i.e., the western Ross Sea sector) and the near-coastal zone between 40-100°E. The East Antarctic pattern is considerably more complex than the well-documented trends in West Antarctica e.g., in the Antarctic Peninsula-Bellingshausen Sea and western Ross Sea sectors. © 2013 Massom et al.

Figures

  • Figure 1. Climatological patterns of East Antarctic sea ice seasonality, 1979/80–2009/10. A) Mean days of sea ice advance, with contours for April, June and August marked. Place names used in
  • Figure 2. Colour-coded maps showing correlations of mean patterns of sea ice seasonality for the region 30–1706E and period 1979/80–2009/10. A) The correlation of mean annual duration versus day of sea ice advance. B) The correlation of mean annual duration versus day of sea ice retreat. Colour coding represents areas of statistical significance greater than the 99% level. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0064756.g002
  • Figure 3. Year-to-year variability in East Antarctic sea ice seasonality shown in example maps of annual anomalies versus the longterm mean (1979/80–2009/10). A)–C) Anomaly maps of advance and retreat and resultant season duration, respectively, for 1980/81. D)–F) Anomaly maps of advance and retreat and resultant season duration, respectively, for 1999/2000. G)–I) Anomaly maps of advance and retreat and resultant season duration, respectively, 2004/05. The black lines depict the location of the meridional transects marked in Figure 4. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0064756.g003
  • Figure 4. Examples of year-to-year variability in sea ice concentration and extent along the meridional transects shown in Figure 3. A)–C). Annual time series of daily ice concentration and extent ‘‘slices’’ along 110uE for 2004, 1999 and 1980, respectively. D)–F). Annual time series of daily ice concentration and extent ‘‘slices’’ along and along 140uE for 2004, 1999 and 1980, respectively. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0064756.g004
  • Figure 6. Trends in East Antarctic sea ice seasonality for the period 1979/80–2009/10. A)–C). Maps of trends in annual timings of East Antarctic sea ice advance, retreat, and duration, respectively. Contours denote statistical significance at the 95% level. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0064756.g006
  • Figure 5. Variability in patterns of East Antarctic sea ice seasonality for the period 1979/80–2009/10. A)–C). Maps of standard deviation in days of annual sea ice advance, retreat, and season duration, respectively. D) Satellite-derived map of fast ice coverage averaged over the period March 2000 to December 2008, where a value of 100% is given to fast ice that covers the pixel for the entire 8.8 year period (after [34]). doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0064756.g005
  • Figure 7. Trends in daily sea ice concentration shown along four meridional transects, for the period 1979–2010. A)–D). Trends in daily sea ice concentration along 90uE, 100uE, 110uE and 140uE, respectively. Contours denote statistical significance at the 95% level. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0064756.g007
  • Figure 8. Monthly sea surface temperature (SST) trends north of the sea ice zone (marked in grey) for the period 1982–2010. A). Maps of SST trends for approximate months of annual sea ice advance (March–August). B). Maps of SST trends for approximate months of annual sea ice retreat (September–February). The x axis is degrees longitude, and the y axis degrees latitude. Hashed areas denote statistical significance at the 95% level. The black lines depict the location of the transects marked in Figure 7. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0064756.g008

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APA

Massom, R., Reid, P., Stammerjohn, S., Raymond, B., Fraser, A., & Ushio, S. (2013). Change and Variability in East Antarctic Sea Ice Seasonality, 1979/80-2009/10. PLoS ONE, 8(5). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0064756

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