How to manufacture a sustainable future for 9 billion people in 2050

Abstract

There is a growing body of evidence which increasingly points to serious and irreversible ecological consequences if current unsustainable manufacturing practices and consumption patterns continue. Recent years have seen a rising awareness leading to the generation of both national and international regulations, resulting in modest improvements in manufacturing practices. These incremental changes however are not making the necessary progress towards eliminating or even reversing the environmental impacts of global industry. Therefore, a fundamental research question is: 'How can we meet the long term demand of our growing global population, and in this context, what are the key challenges for the future of manufacturing industry?' A common approach adopted in such cases is to utilise foresighting exercises to develop a number of alternative future scenarios to aid with long-term strategic planning. This paper presents the results of one such study to create a set of 'SMART Manufacturing Scenarios' for 2050.