Modelling of Flood Hazard Early Warning Group Decision Support System

Abstract

Early warning of flood hazards needs to be carried out comprehensively to avoid a higher risk of disaster. Every decision on early warning of a flood hazard is carried out in part by one party, namely the government or water resource managers. This research aims to provide a collaborative decision-making model for early warning of flood hazards through a Group Decision Support System Model (GDSS), especially in Indonesia. The novelty of this research is that the GDSS model involves more than one decision-maker and multi-criteria decision-making for early warning of flood hazards in the downstream Kali Sadar River, Mojokerto Regency, East Java Province, Indonesia. The GDSS model was developed using a hybrid method, namely the Analytical Network Process (ANP) and VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR). There was more than one decision result; voting was carried out using the BORDA method to produce the decision. The test results of GDSS were obtained using a Spearman rank correlation coefficient of 0.8425 and matrix confusion, an accuracy value of 86.7%, a precision value of 86.7%, a recall value of 86.7%, and an f-measure of 86.7%. Based on the test results, good results were obtained from the GDSS model.