TRADER HUB SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT USING VAN K THARP EXPECTANCY THEORY TO ANALYSE RETAIL FOREX TRADING SYSTEM PERFORMANCE

Abstract

With the advance of technology, foreign exchange trading, known as forex or FX trading, has been conducted electronically using the Internet. Forex traders were using technical analysis to project the best price when buying or selling currencies, and by using the technical analysis tools, they have created their own trading system. Forex traders need to make consistent profitability in the long term to sustain in the forex market, therefore a good trading system is vital. In order to evaluate their trading system performance, forex traders can use the backtesting and forward testing methods. However, these two methods took a long time to perform and did not provide the exact benchmark quality of the trading system. This paper describes how Van K Tharp Expectancy Theory was applied in the development of the Trader Hub System (THS) to evaluate forex trading systems quality. By using the system development life cycle (SDLC) methodology, four phases have been undertaken, which were requirements gathering, requirements analysis, system design, and system development. The outcome is a system that can easily evaluate forex trading system performance; thus, it may help retail forex traders in Malaysia to do technical analysis on their foreign exchange pairs.