Prediction of treatment response in patients with brain metastasis receiving stereotactic radiosurgery based on pre-treatment multimodal MRI radiomics and clinical risk factors: A machine learning model

Abstract

Objectives: Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS), a therapy that uses radiation to treat brain tumors, has become a significant treatment procedure for patients with brain metastasis (BM). However, a proportion of patients have been found to be at risk of local failure (LF) after treatment. Hence, accurately identifying patients with LF risk after SRS treatment is critical to the development of successful treatment plans and the prognoses of patients. To accurately predict BM patients with the occurrence of LF after SRS therapy, we develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model based on pre-treatment multimodal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics and clinical risk factors. Patients and methods: In this study, 337 BM patients were included (247, 60, and 30 in the training set, internal validation set, and external validation set, respectively). Four clinical features and 223 radiomics features were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and Max-Relevance and Min-Redundancy (mRMR) filters. We establish the ML model using the selected features and the support vector machine (SVM) classifier to predict the treatment response of BM patients to SRS therapy. Results: In the training set, the SVM classifier that uses a combination of clinical and radiomics features demonstrates outstanding discriminative performance (AUC=0.95, 95% CI: 0.93-0.97). Moreover, this model also achieves satisfactory results in the validation sets (AUC=0.95 in the internal validation set and AUC=0.93 in the external validation set), demonstrating excellent generalizability. Conclusions: This ML model enables a non-invasive prediction of the treatment response of BM patients receiving SRS therapy, which can in turn assist neurologist and radiation oncologists in the development of more precise and individualized treatment plans for BM patients.