Sensitivities of simulated convective storms to environmental CAPE

Abstract

A set of 225 idealized three-dimensional cloud-resolving simulations is used to explore convective storm behavior in environments with various values of CAPE (450, 800, 2000, and 3200 J kg -1). The simulations show that when CAPE52000 J kg -1 or greater, numerous combinations of other environmental parameters can support updrafts of at least 10 m s -1 throughout an entire 2-h simulation. At CAPE = 450 J kg -1, it is very difficult to obtain strong storms, although one case featuring a supercell is found. For CAPE = 800 J kg -1, mature storm updraft speeds correlate positively with strong low-level lapse rates and reduced precipitable water. In some cases, updrafts at this CAPE value can reach speeds that rival predictions of parcel theory, but such efficient conversion of CAPE to kinetic energy does not extend to all storms at CAPE = 800 J kg -1, nor to any storms in simulations at lower or higher CAPE. In simulations with CAPE = 2000 or 3200 J kg -1, the strongest time-averaged mature updrafts, while supercellular in character, feature generally less than 60% of the speeds expected from parcel theory, and even the strongest updraft found at CAPE = 450 J kg -1 fails to reach that relative strength. When CAPE = 2000 J kg -1 or more, updrafts benefit from enhanced shear, higher levels of free convection, and reduced precipitable water. Strong low-level shear and a reduced height of the level of free convection correlate closely with low-level storm vertical vorticity when CAPE is at least 2000 J kg -1, consistent with previous findings. However, at CAPE = 800 J kg -1, low-level vorticity shares the same correlations with the environment as updraft strength. With respect to storm precipitation, in simulations initiated with only 30 mm of precipitable water (PW), all of the storms that last for an entire 2-h simulation tend to produce liquid precipitation at roughly similar rates, regardless of their CAPE. In environments where PW is increased to 60 mm, storms tend to produce the most rainfall at CAPE = 2000 J kg -1, with somewhat lesser rainfall rates at lower and higher CAPE.Nevertheless, over the simulation domain, the ground area that receives at least 10 mmof rainfall tends to increase as CAPE increases, owing to a greater number and size of precipitating updrafts in the domain. © 2011 American Meteorological Society.