Liver transplant score for prediction of biliary atresia patients' survival following Kasai procedure

Abstract

Objectives: Recently, a scoring system has been developed to predict which patients with biliary atresia (BA) who underwent a Kasai procedure should be considered for liver transplant. Here, we applied the scoring system to predict the survival of BA patients following the Kasai procedure at Dr. Sardjito Hospital, Yogyakarta, Indonesia from January 2012 to January 2016. Results: There were 26 patients, of whom 14 were males and 12 females. Outcomes of BA patients after the Kasai surgery were 15 survived and 11 died. There were significant associations between ascites and sepsis with the liver transplant score of ≥ 8 (p value = 0.006 and 0.014, respectively), whereas post-operative bilirubin level, ALT level, prothrombin time, cirrhosis, esophageal varices, portal hypertension, and cholangitis did not significantly correlate to the score. The patients with a score ≥ 8 have a relatively greater risk by 3.5-fold to die compared with patients with a score < 8, but it did not reach a significant level (p value = 0.13). In conclusions, the incidence of ascites and sepsis might predict the poor prognosis of BA patients following the Kasai procedure. Moreover, patients with a score ≥ 8 are prone to die after the Kasai surgery if they do not undergo a liver transplant.