THE APPLICATION OF ADABOOST.M1 BASED ON ANT COLONY OPTIMIZATION TO CLASSIFY THE RISK OF DELAY IN THE PHARMACEUTICAL SUPPLY CHAIN

Abstract

Background: The purpose of this article is to present the developed AdaBoost.M1 based on Ant Colony Optimization (hereby referred to as ACOBoost.M1 throughout the study) to classify the risk of delay in the pharmaceutical supply chain. This study investigates one research hypothesis, namely, that the ACOBoost.M1 can be used to predict the risk of delay in the supply chain and is characterized by a high prediction performance. Methods: We developed a machine learning algorithm based on Ant Colony Optimization (ACO). The meta-heuristic algorithm ACO is used to find the best hyperparameters for AdaBoost.M1 to classify the risk of delay in the pharmaceutical supply chain. The study used a dataset from 4PL logistics service provider. Results: The results indicate that ACOBoost.M1 may predict the risk of delay in the supply chain and is characterized by a high prediction performance. Conclusions: The present findings highlight the significance of applying machine learning algorithms, such as the AdaBoost.M1 model with Ant Colony Optimization for hyperparameter tuning, to manage the risk of delays in the pharmaceutical supply chain. These findings not only showcase the potential for machine learning in enhancing supply chain efficiency and robustness but also set the stage for future research. Further exploration could include investigating other optimization techniques, machine learning models, and their applications across various industries and sectors.