Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Evolution Characteristics of Drought and Its Driving Factors in Yangtze River Basin Based on SPEI

Abstract

Using a dataset of 114 meteorological stations in the Yangtze River Basin from 1980–2019, the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) was calculated based on the Penman-Monteith evapotranspiration model for multiple time scales, and the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of drought in the Yangtze River Basin were analyzed by combining spatial and temporal analysis methods as well as geodetector. The main results obtained are as follows: (1) The climate of the Yangtze River Basin is an overall wet trend, and the trend of summer drought is more similar to the annual scale trend. (2) Most areas in the Yangtze River Basin showed mild drought or no drought, and there is little difference in drought condition among the Yangtze River Basin regions. The areas with drought conditions are mainly distributed in the southwest and east of the Yangtze River Basin. (3) There are significant seasonal differences in drought conditions in all regions, and the drought condition is more different in autumn compared to spring, summer and winter. (4) The average annual precipitation and elevation factors are the dominant driving factors of drought in the Yangtze River Basin, and the double-factor interaction has a greater influence on the drought variation in the Yangtze River Basin than the single-factor effect, indicating that the difference of drought condition in the Yangtze River Basin is the result of the combination of multiple factors.