Radiomics Study for Predicting the Expression of PD-L1 and Tumor Mutation Burden in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Based on CT Images and Clinicopathological Features

Abstract

Background: The present study compared the predictive performance of pretreatment computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics signatures and clinicopathological and CT morphological factors for ligand programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression level and tumor mutation burden (TMB) status and further explored predictive models in patients with advanced-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Methods: A total of 120 patients with advanced-stage NSCLC were enrolled in this retrospective study and randomly assigned to a training dataset or validation dataset. Here, 462 radiomics features were extracted from region-of-interest (ROI) segmentation based on pretreatment CT images. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic regression were applied to select radiomics features and develop combined models with clinical and morphological factors for PD-L1 expression and TMB status prediction. Ten-fold cross-validation was used to evaluate the accuracy, and the predictive performance of these models was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and area under the curve (AUC) analyses. Results: The PD-L1-positive expression level correlated with differentiation degree (p = 0.005), tumor shape (p = 0.006), and vascular convergence (p = 0.007). Stage (p = 0.023), differentiation degree (p = 0.017), and vacuole sign (p = 0.016) were associated with TMB status. Radiomics signatures showed good performance for predicting PD-L1 and TMB with AUCs of 0.730 and 0.759, respectively. Predictive models that combined radiomics signatures with clinical and morphological factors dramatically improved the predictive efficacy for PD-L1 (AUC = 0.839) and TMB (p = 0.818). The results were verified in the validation datasets. Conclusions: Quantitative CT-based radiomics features have potential value in the classification of PD-L1 expression levels and TMB status. The combined model further improved the predictive performance and provided sufficient information for the guiding of immunotherapy in clinical practice, and it deserves further analysis.