Spatio-temporal variations in meteorology drought over the Mekong River Delta of Vietnam in the recent decades

Abstract

In recent years, Mekong Delta of Vietnam is severely affected by salinity intrusion and water scarcity due to climate variability. In this study, a comprehensive analysis of meteorology drought was conducted to detect drought events using the Standardized Precipitation Index at 3-, 6-, 9- and 12-month time scale based on monthly precipitation data from 46 precipitation gauge stations for a period of 1984–2015. The aim of the study is to assess the degree of meteorology drought from 1984 to 2015 in potential crop growing areas to provide early warnings and monitor drought events to minimize their negative effects. The results indicated that meteorological drought occurred at the central provinces of the study area in the period 1985–1994, the northeastern and northwestern provinces in the period 1995–2004 and 10 recent years (2005–2014) meteorological drought shifted toward southern coastal provinces. The analyzed results also showed a tendency to decrease in frequency of drought is recorded while a tendency to increase in the spatial distribution of drought with moderate and severe droughts is recorded. Among the major droughts, 1990–1992 was evaluated the most extreme drought with 85% of the study area covered by the extreme drought with peak value of − 2.63 recorded and lasting for 29 months.