The Case for Drone-assisted Emergency Response to Cardiac Arrest: An Optimized Statewide Deployment Approach

Abstract

BACKGROUND Despite evidence linking rapid defibrillation to out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survival, bystander use of automatic external defibrillators (AEDs) remains low, due in part to AED placement and accessibility. AED-equipped drones may improve time-to-defibrillation, yet the benefits and costs are unknown. METHODS We designed drone deployment networks for the state of North Carolina using mathematical optimization models to select drone stations from existing infrastructure by specifying the number of stations and the targeted AED arrival time. Expected outcomes were evaluated over the drone’s lifespan (4 years). We estimated the following parameters: proportion of OHCAs within a targeted AED delivery time, bystander utilization of AEDs, survival/neurological status, and incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). RESULTS Statewide, 16,503 adults aged 18 or older were expected to experience OHCA with an attempted resuscitation over 4 years. Compared to no drone network, all proposed drone networks were expected to improve survival outcomes. For example, assuming 46% of OHCAs have bystanders willing to use an AED, a 500-drone network decreased the median time of defibrillator arrival from 7.7 to 2.7 minutes compared to no drone network. Expected survival rates doubled (24.5% versus 12.3%), resulting in an additional 30,267 QA-LYs ($858/incremental QALY). If just 4.5% of OHCAs had willing bystanders, 13.8% of victims would have survived. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that an AED drone network remained cost-effective over a wide range of assumptions. CONCLUSIONS With proper integration into existing systems, large-scale networks for drone AED delivery have the potential to substantially improve OHCA survival rates while remaining cost-effective. Public health researchers should consider advocating for feasibility studies and policy development surrounding drones.