Urban structure and land-use change in Bogotá between 2007 and 2017

Abstract

The objective of this document is to estimate a discrete selection model and a censored distribution model that specifies to identify the main determinants that explain the changes in land use in Bogotá between 2007 and 2017. The main results point out that distances to the main road, to Transmilenio trunks, shopping centers and employment sub-centers, are related to the probability of change. On the other hand, it is found that areas of residential activity defined in the 2004 Land Use Plan have, in some cases, effects contrary to those expected. The analyzes and results of this document are fundamental inputs to design a regulatory system that incorporates the interests of the agents of an economy, the potential existence of conflicts in land uses and the expansion of the urban slick can be taken into account.