Development of the Likelihood of Low Glucose (LLG) Algorithm for Evaluating Risk of Hypoglycemia

Abstract

Objective:The objective was to develop an analysis methodology for generating diabetes therapy decision guidance using continuous glucose (CG) data.Methods:The novel Likelihood of Low Glucose (LLG) methodology, which exploits the relationship between glucose median, glucose variability, and hypoglycemia risk, is mathematically based and can be implemented in computer software. Using JDRF Continuous Glucose Monitoring Clinical Trial data, CG values for all participants were divided into 4-week periods starting at the first available sensor reading. The safety and sensitivity performance regarding hypoglycemia guidance “stoplights” were compared between the LLG method and one based on 10th percentile (P10) values.Results:Examining 13 932 hypoglycemia guidance outputs, the safety performance of the LLG method ranged from 0.5% to 5.4% incorrect “green” indicators, compared with 0.9% to 6.0% for P10 value of 110 mg/dL. Guidance with lower P10 values yielded higher rates of incorrect indicators, such as 11.7% t...