This study aimed to analyze price transmission in the Thai rice market using the MS-BVECM. We focused on the data set related to Thailands rice price, including Thai white rice price, Thai parboiled rice, Thai paddy price, and World rice price collected from M1/2004 to M3/2014. We estimated the model with two regimes; namely high market price regime and low market price regime. The estimated results showed that there existed some short-run relationships between these rice prices in both regimes. Unlike the long-run, there existed only one long-run relationship (one cointegrating equation) in the high market price regime expressed in the Thai white rice equation. Meanwhile, Thai paddy price has the long-run relationship and short-run adjustment dynamics in the low market price regime. In addition, we found that India’s non-basmati rice exports and the paddy price guaranteed at 15,000 THB per ton are two main reasons which caused the switching between these two regimes.
CITATION STYLE
Tansuchat, R., Maneejuk, P., Wiboonpongse, A., & Sriboonchitta, S. (2016). Price transmission mechanism in the thai rice market. In Studies in Computational Intelligence (Vol. 622, pp. 451–461). Springer Verlag. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-27284-9_29
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