Artificial intelligence predicts normal summer monsoon rainfall for India in 2023

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Abstract

Inaccuracy in the All Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (AISMR) forecast has major repercussions for India's economy and people's daily lives. Improving the accuracy of AISMR forecasts remains a challenge. An attempt is made here to address this problem by taking advantage of recent advances in machine learning techniques. The data-driven models trained with historical AISMR data, the Niño3.4 index, and categorical Indian Ocean Dipole values outperform the traditional physical models, and the best-performing model predicts that the 2023 AISMR will be roughly 790 mm, which is typical of a normal monsoon year.

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APA

Narang, U., Juneja, K., Upadhyaya, P., Salunke, P., Chakraborty, T., Behera, S. K., … Suresh, A. D. (2024). Artificial intelligence predicts normal summer monsoon rainfall for India in 2023. Scientific Reports, 14(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-44284-3

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